I was watching the Sox on Sunday when something caught my
eye. In the middle of an at-bat, suddenly Pablo Sandoval went running across
the diamond and took a fielding position not far from first base. (I was Pablo,
so it was hard to miss him.) They were putting on a defensive shift for the
batter.
Now, there’s nothing new about shifts, obviously. There’s
not even anything new about doing it in the middle of a batter. Joe Maddon, for
some reason, is often given credit for shifting his shifts all over the place
depending on the count. It wasn’t even all that shocking to send Pablo over
instead of just moving Xander Bogaerts over. If I have one guy in charge of
covering an entire side of the infield, it wouldn’t take much thought before
picking Xander over Panda.
But, it was just something that struck me. There are
different ways to shift, and different places to position the fielders to gain
the most advantage.
And I doubt John Farrell came up with a single one of them. Nor,
for that matter, does Joe Maddon. They’re all the result of intense statistical
analysis. Some computer somewhere spit out the fact that 75% of David Ortiz’s
ground balls end up in this general area of the field. So, Farrell put a guy
there. Which made me wonder…what does Farrell do?
No, this isn’t a knock on Farrell. Just wondering if the
game has changed the way managers are used. The numbers are all done by someone
else, right? Whether to bring the infield in is just something off a chart.
Ahead by one in the seventh or down by three in the third? Pick it off. Like
“going for two” in the NFL. Does this mean that every manager these days is
just a guy to keep all the players happy?
After the Sox fired one of their managers…I think it was
Grady Little after he ignored some of the data the front office
supplied…someone wondered if the Sox should just hire Dr. Phil to manage. He
could manage the ego, and the computers would take care of the game decisions.
Is that what managers have evolved into?
Is Joe Maddon’s greatest asset that he knows when to shift,
or that he can get “grown ass” men to dress up in ridiculous costumes for no
reason? Do the Red Sox need Farrell’s game decisions, or just someone who can
gently tell Pedroia that he’s sitting down for a game because the numbers show
he isn’t hitting? When Joe Torre was getting all his Manager of the Year
consideration despite managing with the highest payroll in the history of
baseball, people said he deserved it because he was able to manage all those
egos. Are great tactical managers a waste of resources?
What do the Sox need from John Farrell?
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